A review of government policies which impact on
homelessness by Crisis and NPI
It is estimated that about 1,000 people face an imminent eviction order at any point in time. Someone who receives an eviction order will cease to have a legal right to occupy their house within 28 days. The legislation states that someone is homeless if they are threatened with homelessness within 28 days, so 100% of this group can be classified as hidden homeless.
| Description |
People without dependent children who have received outright possession orders (and so are at imminent risk of eviction) for rent arrears (so the risk is not because of their behaviour). |
| Rationale for inclusion |
The accommodation is insecure because someone who receives an outright possession order will cease to have a legal right to occupy their house within 28 days. Homelessness legislation states that someone is homeless if they are threatened with homelessness within 28 days. |
| Risk of homelessness |
High - those facing eviction would, if they applied, be accepted as homeless as they are threatened with homelessness within 28 days. |
| Issues relating to subgroups |
People with dependent children can, in principle, apply to their local authority and be classified as homeless and in priority need. In contrast, people without dependent children would be deemed intentionally homeless if they were facing eviction for rent arrears, and unless they have a specific vulnerability, would not be considered to in priority need. |
| Overlap with other groups |
Many of the people with dependent children will be considered as homeless and in priority need, as discussed above. |
| Estimated numbers |
Around 10,000 people over the period of a year face imminent eviction for rent arrears. This equates to around 1,000 at any point in time. |
| Issues relating to the calculation |
In 2006, around 17,000 households had their home re-possessed in the United Kingdom[1].
Each year, around 11,000 households are evicted from social housing in England.[2] No data is available on evictions from private rented accommodation but there estimated numbers are around 3,000 per year.[3] Scaling up these figures gives an estimated 16,000 households for Great Britain.
What proportion of these 33,000 (17,000 + 16,000) households should be considered to be at imminent risk of eviction at any particular point in time? There are two reasons for saying that the answer is around 2,500 (28/365ths of 22,000): first, from a legal standpoint, a person is considered to be threatened with homelessness in England and Wales if it is likely that they will become homeless within 28 days (2 months in Scotland); and, second, possession orders typically take effect 28 days from the day of the Court judgement.
Of the 2,500 at imminent risk of eviction, what proportion should be considered to be hidden homeless? It seems reasonable to only include households without dependent children as those with children they will be entitled to permanent accommodation from their local authority (assuming they apply). Research[4] suggests that around half of the households are households without dependent children, giving a final estimate of 1,250 who can reasonably be considered to be hidden homeless. |
| Data source |
Various, as explained under the heading ‘issues related to the calculation'. |
| Adequacy of the calculation |
Medium - the estimate above is likely to be an underestimate because not all of the people with dependent children will apply to be classified as homeless but this would not affect the order of magnitude of the estimate. |
End notes
[1] Council of Mortgage Lenders. The data is for 2006. Back to text
[2] An article by Hal Pawson entitled Social landlords get tough? Investigating recent eviction trends in England, whose stated source is CIPFA Housing Rent Arrears & Benefits Statistics. The local authority data is for 2003/04 and the RSL data is for 2004/05. Back to text
[3] From Court Service data, around a fifth of renters facing outright possession orders are private renters. Given that the four-fifths who are social renters equates to 11,000 evictions, it seems reasonable to assume that there are around 3,000 evictions of private renters. Back to text
[4] See Possession action - the last resort? NACAB, 2003, where the stated proportion is for the clients that they assisted at County Courts. Back to text
Page last modified on 06/07/2007 at 02:33